Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.923358 1.133277 1.358410 1.615665 1.899437 2.201028 2.543953
2024-10-20 0.609198 0.880829 1.197623 1.585003 2.037408 2.541580 3.138781
2024-10-27 0.518732 0.834487 1.222300 1.715105 2.308292 2.985250 3.802957
2024-11-03 0.443637 0.791155 1.238954 1.827402 2.553807 3.398827 4.435319
2024-11-10 0.387838 0.760004 1.260243 1.936268 2.787875 3.793483 5.041510
2024-11-17 0.342742 0.735080 1.283415 2.042967 3.016513 4.180572 5.639233
2024-11-24 0.286336 0.682959 1.262343 2.086632 3.162531 4.465596 6.114420
2024-12-01 0.229351 0.619049 1.217043 2.092184 3.255917 4.683606 6.507557
2024-12-08 0.166877 0.531897 1.128206 2.030913 3.257400 4.784076 6.755391
2024-12-15 0.117700 0.455375 1.045886 1.971079 3.254826 4.875050 6.988166
2024-12-22 0.083969 0.398875 0.987602 1.939509 3.285073 5.003724 7.264323
2024-12-29 0.065377 0.370307 0.971537 1.966925 3.393113 5.230374 7.661527
2025-01-05 0.044905 0.330469 0.936005 1.969519 3.475591 5.436244 8.049656
2025-01-12 0.026570 0.284224 0.883169 1.942534 3.516065 5.588499 8.373009
2025-01-19 0.025221 0.296213 0.939485 2.086066 3.796044 6.053662 9.091994
2025-01-26 0.022739 0.302574 0.984878 2.212853 4.053443 6.490807 9.777721
2025-02-02 0.020170 0.307218 1.026659 2.334112 4.303639 6.919498 10.454194
2025-02-09 0.017746 0.311175 1.066879 2.453157 4.551403 7.346085 11.129582
2025-02-16 0.012255 0.294767 1.064061 2.501694 4.698015 7.639333 11.635926
2025-02-23 0.006674 0.268066 1.036570 2.507886 4.782505 7.849713 12.036469
2025-03-02 0.001775 0.224861 0.966883 2.439700 4.756088 7.910382 12.243881
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.186752 0.901055 2.373036 4.728293 7.966571 12.443450
2025-03-16 NaN 0.159718 0.855776 2.337825 4.743807 8.078322 12.712008